{"id":99254,"date":"2014-01-06T12:08:52","date_gmt":"2014-01-06T11:08:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sandzakpress.net\/arhiva\/?p=99254"},"modified":"2014-01-06T12:08:52","modified_gmt":"2014-01-06T11:08:52","slug":"zasto-nestaju-srbi-svake-godine-ih-60-000-manje-raste-broj-bosnjaka-i-albanaca","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sandzakpress.net\/arhiva\/%3Fp%3D99254","title":{"rendered":"Za\u0161to nestaju Srbi: Svake godine ih 60.000 manje, raste broj Bo\u0161njaka i Albanaca"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"SRBIJA<\/h3>\n

Srbija – Stanovni\u0161tvo u Srbiji spada me\u0111u najstarije populacije na svijetu, jer se vi\u0161e od pola stolje\u0107a suo\u010dava s nedovoljnim ra\u0111anjem, upozorila je sino\u0107 dr\u017eavna Radio-televizija Srbije (RTS).<\/h3>\n
\n
<\/div>\n
\n

Srbin je stariji od prosje\u010dnog Evropljanina, a svake godine je 40.000 manje ro\u0111enih nego umrlih. Parovi se sve kasnije odlu\u010duju da osnuju porodicu, a migracije se ne zaustavljaju.<\/p>\n

Prazno selo je pravi simbol sve praznije Srbije, zaklju\u010duje RTS.<\/p>\n

Bijela kuga<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ako se tako nastavi i ostvare pretpostavke demografa, broj stanovnika Srbije bi 2060. godine bio sveden na 4,9 miliona, odnosno za tre\u0107inu manje nego sada. To zna\u010di da \u0107e 2060. broj stanovnika Srbije biti kao 1927. godine! Ina\u010de, u Srbiji je 2012. godini \u017eivjelo 7.199.077 stanovnika.<\/p>\n

Svake godine u Srbiji je oko 40.000 manje ro\u0111enih od umrlih. \u017dene se kasnije odlu\u010duju da ra\u0111aju, naj\u010de\u0161\u0107e izme\u0111u 30 i 34 godine, a migracije se ne zaustavljaju. Demografi u obzir uzimaju nepovoljne dru\u0161tveno-ekonomske prilike u zemlji, ne prognoziraju pobolj\u0161anje \u2013 otuda pretpostavka da \u0107e narednih desetak godina biti nastavljen pad fertiliteta.<\/p>\n

U Srbiji ve\u0107 dugo strahuju od \u201dbijele kuge\u201d. Vijest Republi\u010dkog zavoda Srbije za statistiku iz jula 2013. godine da se broj stanovnika Srbije u proteklih godinu dana smanjio za 59.676 ljudi, \u0161to je broj stanovnika jednog ne\u0161to ve\u0107eg grada zapadnog Balkana, izazvala je \u0161ok i gotovo paniku.<\/p>\n

Za\u0161to Srbi nestaju<\/strong><\/p>\n

Takve informacije Republi\u010dkog zavoda Srbije podgrijale su ranije procjene stru\u010dnjaka da \u0107e Srbi, ako se ovako nastavi, nestati za 500 godina ili, kako je ranije ocijenila demografkinja Biljana Spasi\u0107, autorica knjige \u2018Za\u0161to Srbi nestaju’, postati manjina u svojoj dr\u017eavi!<\/p>\n

Prema informacijama Republi\u010dkog zavoda za statistiku Srbije, stopa nataliteta je 9,3 posto, mortaliteta 14,2 posto, a stopa prirodnog prira\u0161taja je -4,9 posto! Prema istom izvoru, prirodni prira\u0161taj stanovni\u0161tva Republike Srbije u 2011. godini iznosio je -37.337, a u 2012. godini -35.143. Taj \u0107e se trend, o\u010dito, nastaviti.<\/p>\n

Op\u0161tine u kojima je stopa mortaliteta najni\u017ea su: Bujanovac (10,0\u2030), Pre\u0161evo (9,5\u2030), Sjenica (8,8\u2030), Novi Pazar (8,1\u2030) i Tutin (7,2\u2030) u kojima, zanimljivo, mahom \u017eive Bo\u0161njaci i Albanci.<\/p>\n

\u201dDepopulacijske tendencije stanovni\u0161tva s negativnom stopom rasta i negativnim prirodnim prira\u0161tajem zabilje\u017eene u regiji Vojvodine po\u010detkom 80-ih godina pro\u0161log stolje\u0107a, a u ostalom dijelu Srbije po\u010detkom 90-ih, se i dalje odvijaju, a prema izlo\u017eenim indikatorima i prema projekciji broja stanovnika, odvijat \u0107e se i u budu\u0107nosti\u201d, ocijenjeno je ranije iz Republi\u010dkog zavoda za statistiku.<\/p>\n

Dr. Vladimir Nikitovi\u0107, znanstveni suradnik Centra za demografska istra\u017eivanja iz Beograda, kazao je da prirodni prira\u0161taj \u201draste u tom negativnom smislu\u201d.<\/p>\n

\u201dDefinitivno, bar u ovih 10 posljednjih godina, Srbija gubi jo\u0161 nekih 15 ili 20 hiljada ljudi dodatno uslijed migracija. Izvjesno je, dakle, da je od pro\u0161log popisa 2002. godine do ovog posljednjeg 2011. godine, broj stanovnika u Srbiji smanjen negdje izme\u0111u 450 i 500 hiljada ljudi. To se ne vidi direktnom usporedbom, jer raniji popis nije obuhva\u0107ao interno raseljene osobe s Kosova, a ovaj jest\u201d, rekao je Nikitovi\u0107.<\/p>\n

Razloge, kako je kazao, treba tra\u017eiti u nedovoljnom ra\u0111anju, jer je Srbija ve\u0107 50 godina ispod razine reprodukcije. Drugi razlog je, istakao je, emigracija koja je poja\u010dana od 90-tih.<\/p>\n

\u201cTo zbog priljeva izbjeglica nije bilo vidljivo. Ali, oni koji nisu htjeli vidjeti, sad mogu vidjeti. To je, na\u017ealost, ne\u0161to \u0161to se o\u010dekuje i u narednim desetlje\u0107ima da se doga\u0111a sa stanovni\u0161tvom Srbije\u201d, dodao je dr. Nikitovi\u0107.<\/p>\n

Problem \u201dbijele kuge\u201d je prisutan i u drugim zemljama biv\u0161e Jugoslavije. Republika Hrvatska, koja je u 2010. imala 4.418.000 stanovnika, bilje\u017ei negativan prirodni prira\u0161taj od dva posto. Negativni trend rasta populacije nije izbjegla ni Bosna i Hercegovina (BiH), tre\u0107a po brojnosti zemlja u regiji, sa procjenom od oko 3.839.737 stanovnika.<\/p>\n

Razli\u010dito u F BIH i RS<\/strong><\/p>\n

BiH je u 2010. godini zabilje\u017eila negativan prirast stanovni\u0161tva od 0,4 posto, s tim \u0161to je u Republici Srpskoj (RS) stopa negativna, a u Federaciji BiH pozitivna. Republika Srpska, koja ima blizu 1,4 miliona stanovnika, ima negativan prirodni prira\u0161taj posljednjih 10 godina. Statisti\u010dari u RS-u tvrde kako se broj stanovnika tog entiteta iz godine u godinu smanjuje za broj stanovnika jedne manje op\u0107ine, odnosno za oko tri hiljade. Pro\u0161le godine stanovni\u0161tvo RS-a smanjivalo se po stopi od 2,9 posto.<\/p>\n

U Federaciji BiH stanje je zna\u010dajno druga\u010dije. Prema slu\u017ebenoj procjeni, u FBiH \u017eivi oko 2,3 miliona stanovnika i jo\u0161 uvijek se bilje\u017ei blagi porast broja stanovnika po stopi od 0,6 posto (podatak iz 2011.). Pozitivan prirodni prira\u0161taj je, prema posljednjim podacima, u Tuzlanskom kantonu (TK), Sarajevski kanton (KS) nekoliko godina unazad ima negativan trend, dok je u Bosansko-podrinjskom kantonu (Gora\u017ede) pro\u0161le godine zabilje\u017een \u201cevropski prosjek\u201d, odnosno nulta stopa prirodnog prira\u0161taja.<\/p>\n

Za razliku od Srbije, Hrvatske i dijela BiH, Kosovo, Crna Gora i Makedonija su, prema statisti\u010dkim pokazateljima, zemlje rastu\u0107e populacije. Sa procjenom broja stanovnika od oko 1,7 miliona, Kosovo je prema posljednjem slu\u017ebenom podatku iz 2010. godine, imalo prirodni prira\u0161taj od 12 posto.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Stanovni\u0161tvo u Srbiji spada me\u0111u najstarije populacije na svijetu, jer se vi\u0161e od pola stolje\u0107a suo\u010dava s nedovoljnim ra\u0111anjem, upozorila je sino\u0107 dr\u017eavna Radio-televizija Srbije<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":83,"featured_media":99255,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[72,1,52,327,392,393,394,8957],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-99254","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-novi-pazar","8":"category-politika","9":"category-sjenica","10":"category-tutin","11":"category-prijepolje_","12":"category-priboj","13":"category-nova-varos","14":"category-vijesti-dana"},"yoast_head":"\nZa\u0161to nestaju Srbi: Svake godine ih 60.000 manje, raste broj Bo\u0161njaka i Albanaca<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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