{"id":85910,"date":"2013-08-22T16:52:49","date_gmt":"2013-08-22T14:52:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sandzakpress.net\/arhiva\/?p=85910"},"modified":"2013-08-22T16:52:49","modified_gmt":"2013-08-22T14:52:49","slug":"egipat-ili-destabiliziranje-stozera-arapskog-svijeta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sandzakpress.net\/arhiva\/egipat-ili-destabiliziranje-stozera-arapskog-svijeta\/","title":{"rendered":"Egipat ili destabiliziranje sto\u017eera arapskog svijeta"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"esad-durakovic\"
Autor: Esad Durakovi\u0107<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Najzna\u010dajnija arapska zemlja, Egipat, dramati\u010dno je destabilizirana. Racionalno i razlo\u017eno gledano, ne postoje upori\u0161ta za nadanja da se ova drama okon\u010da brzo i sa relativno malim brojem \u017ertava. Razloga za mra\u010dne prognoze ima vi\u0161e, na \u017ealost.<\/p>\n

Prvo, Egipat je najmnogoljudnija arapska zemlja, i to nije bezna\u010dajno. Drugo, Egipat je u arapskom svijetu najve\u0107i rasadnik nau\u010dnih kadrova, umjetnosti, inteligencije op\u0107enito. On je i u tome pogledu na prvome mjestu i stoga ima izuzetan zna\u010daj za arapski, ali i za islamski svijet op\u0107enito. Tre\u0107e, razumije se da je Egipat zbog navedenih razloga sto\u017eerna arapska zemlja i u politi\u010dkom smislu. Sukobi koji potresaju Egipat mogu biti samo proporcionalni navedenim faktorima goleme va\u017enosti zemlje, a to zna\u010di da \u0107e biti \u2013 kao \u0161to ve\u0107 jesu, zapravo \u2013 i masovni i surovi, sudbinski do razmjera epskog totaliteta. Bio bih neizmjerno sretan da se prevarim, ali \u2013 mno\u0161tvo \u010dinilaca je naprosto udru\u017eeno tako da vodi u smjeru dalje dramatizacije.<\/p>\n

Navedenome treba dodati i to da se egipatska dramati\u010dna pometnja zbiva u regionalnom i nadregionalnom kontekstu pa je neopravdano i nekompetentno posmatrati je izvan toga. Naime, ve\u0107i dio Bliskog Istoka, zemlja po zemlja, uvode se u stanje haosa, s o\u010diglednom namjerom da se region destabilizira, te da se, zatim, zna\u010dajno prekomponira, da se neutralizira bilo kakva vrsta njegove homogenizacije, \u010dak normalnog su\u017eivota i politi\u010dkog osna\u017eivanja. \u0160tavi\u0161e, tamo gdje bi se mogla o\u010dekivati njegova homogenizacija (“polje islama”) proizvode se besmisleni i potpuno pogubni me\u0111usobni sukobi \u2013 kao sekta\u0161ki ratovi do istrjebljenja. Veoma je va\u017eno, naravno, u toj strategiji stvaranja “novog svjetskog poretka” (\u0161to podrazumijeva razaranje postoje\u0107eg svijeta, \u010demu ve\u0107 svjedo\u010dimo u nizu aspekata) odvesti u haos ovu sto\u017eernu arapsku zemlju, jer su neke ve\u0107 temeljito razorene i osuje\u0107ena im je budu\u0107nost zadugo. Tako se Egipat privodi predvorju pakla. Htio to neko priznati ili ne, sva zbivanja o kojima je ovdje rije\u010d kontekstualiziraju se huntingtonskim sukobom civilizacija u koji smo ve\u0107 u\u0161li, ako to neko nije zapazio ili nema snage da imenuje pojave (prisjetimo se samo Bushove izjave o otpo\u010dinjanju krsta\u0161kih ratova nakon ru\u0161enja Blizanaca!). Na Bliskom Istoku su preostala jo\u0161 dva respektabilna faktora \u2013 Iran i Turska \u2013 pa se i oko njih, na \u017ealost, pletu mra\u010dnja\u010dki kolopleti.<\/p>\n

Male su \u0161anse za brz prestanak nasilja u Egiptu i zbog sljede\u0107a dva kapitalna razloga. Prvo, na vlasti je prevratni\u010dka uzurpatorska Armija (ta\u010dnije \u2013 hunta u punom kapacitetu toga pojma), a generali u politici ne donose dobra jer oni ne shva\u0107aju politiku a vole da se igraju rata. Druk\u010dije ne umiju. (Pitam se \u0161ta bi dobri psiholozi kazali kada bi vidjeli onoga al-Sisija pred mikrofonima poklopljenog nestvarno nakin\u0111urenom \u0161apkom i sa onim nadrealisti\u010dkim sun\u010danim nao\u010dalama!) To zna\u010di da je nerealno o\u010dekivati da Armija ustukne, \u010dime bi priznala svoju fatalnu gre\u0161ku, jer nakon ovoga gotovo sladostrasnog pucanja u \u017eivo meso demonstranata, ne treba sumnjati da su generalni svjesni kako moraju i\u0107i do kraja jer \u0107e ina\u010de oni biti gonjeni i smaknuti. Oti\u0161lo se predaleko, na put bez povratka.<\/p>\n

\"Egipat<\/p>\n

(Dana 16. avgusta gledamo na TV, u\u017eivo, kako jedan demonstrant, nenaoru\u017ean, stoji ispred tenka sa visoko podignutim rukama, licem-u-lice s tenkom, stoji nekoliko trenutaka, nepomi\u010dan, emitiraju\u0107i tako va\u017enu i izuzetu poruku, a onda iz tenka na toga nepokretnog i nenaoru\u017eanog \u010dovjeka, koji se sav pretvorio u stamen simbol i ustreptalu metaforu, ispale takav kalibar da vidimo, po\u0161to ga gledamo s le\u0111a, kako toga \u010dovjeka \u0161ehidske odva\u017enosti raznosi kur\u0161um izbijaju\u0107i mu na le\u0111ima i razvaljuju\u0107i mu velik dio tijela… U toj slici je sadr\u017eano sve \u0161to se danas zbiva u Egiptu. To Armija vra\u0107a demokratiju!)<\/p>\n

Dok Armija ne mo\u017ee natrag, niti je opozivaju oni koji su joj dali signal za smrtonosnu akciju, na drugoj strani Muslimanska bra\u0107a imaju nedosti\u017ean motiv koji se zove legitimnost. To je ono \u0161to ih nosi. Govorim nenavija\u010dki, analiti\u010dki, govorim samo o \u010dinjenicama. Jer, nakon mno\u0161tva decenija koje su proveli u politi\u010dkoj ilegali i u golemoj represiji, progonjeni od iste te Armije, oni su demokratskim izborima do\u0161li na poziciju, \u0161to zna\u010di voljom ve\u0107ine Egip\u0107ana. Iluzorno je misliti da oni nemaju punu svijest o historijskom zna\u010daju vlastitog legitimnog izlaska, prvi put, na politi\u010dku pozornicu kao dominantan politi\u010dki faktor. Istovremeno, oni znaju da \u2013 ukoliko bi se povukli i bili potisnuti u ilegalu \u2013 mogu o\u010dekivati od te Armije i njenih marioneta nezamisliv politi\u010dki i fizi\u010dki teror i progon… Oni su svjesni toga da ne smiju ustuknuti. Ve\u0107 sada je Sila sa zatamnjenim nao\u010dalama organizirala lov na njih \u0161irom zemlje, a podme\u0107u im i napade na koptsku kr\u0161\u0107ansku zajednicu kako bi ih optimalno satanizirali pred javno\u0161\u0107u Zapada (ako tako ne\u0161to uop\u0107e vi\u0161e postoji u smislu pune osvije\u0161tenosti, nemanipulativnosti) i kako bi ideolo\u0161ko-politi\u010dkim krivotvorenjima opravdali njihov progon. Budu li Muslimanska bra\u0107a ipak prognana u ilegalu, onda u Egiptu predstoji terorizam gori nego \u0161to je danas u Iraku, a nikada ne treba smetnuti s uma \u010dinjenicu da je to najva\u017enije arapska zemlja, \u0161to zna\u010di da \u0107e zbivanja u njoj imati mnogostrukog odjeka u regionu. U svakom slu\u010daju, prognoze su vrlo lo\u0161e, ishod je potpuno neizvjestan. Izvjesno je samo to da je glavna arapska zemlja planerski destabilizirana na zaista dramati\u010dan na\u010din i za neznano dug period. Nije te\u0161ko pogoditi kome odgovara takva situacija.<\/p>\n

Kada ve\u0107 govorim o kontekstualiziranju velikih, va\u017enih zbivanja \u2013 a jedino na taj na\u010din mogu se pravilno sagledati \u2013 nu\u017eno je ukazati, kao na poantu, na ne\u0161to \u0161to ima naro\u010dit zna\u010daj a uo\u010dava se u vezi sa zbivanjima u arapskom svijetu. To je sama bit zbivanja. Naime, egipatska Armija dugo ve\u0107 prima ogromnu nov\u010danu pomo\u0107 od SAD-a, \u0161to zna\u010di da ona nije mogla izvr\u0161iti vojni udar i kasniji masakr svojih gra\u0111ana civila bez znanja i odobrenja upravo od tih koji im daju novac. To nije mogu\u0107e. \u0160tavi\u0161e, mogli smo \u010duti od ameri\u010dkih zvani\u010dnika ne\u0161to \u0161to je naprosto nevjerovatno i neprimjereno Americi kakvu znamo i u kakvu vjerujemo: Armija u Egiptu vra\u0107a demokratiju! Dakle, hunta uhapsi demokratski izabranog Predsjednika, zavede u zemlji vojni teror nad civilima (Armija koristi i policiju i vojsku, \u0161to je po sebi indikativno!), ali se ka\u017ee \u2013 Armija vra\u0107a demokratiju u zemlju. Kada su Palestinci demokratski podr\u017eali Hamas, taj \u010din demokratije nije priznat. U Al\u017eiru je nakon demokratskih izbora izvr\u0161en jedan od najsurovijih prevrata u povijesti toga svijeta \u2013 kada su preko no\u0107i masakrirana i bukvalno preklana \u010ditava sela. Pod “motivom” uvo\u0111enja demokratije, ogromna strana vojna sila je potpuno razorila Irak, pobila milione ljudi i oduzela je budu\u0107nost zemlji koja danas nije u demokratiji, ve\u0107 u totalnom haosu… Drugim rije\u010dima, mi danas svjedo\u010dimo kako se u svijetu stra\u0161no zloupotrebljava pojam demokratije. Kako \u0107emo razumijevati taj pojam, ili tu vrijednost, nakon Al\u017eira, Iraka, Libije, nakon divljanja onog tamo egipatskog generala pod glamuroznom \u0161apkom i nezaboravnim, mra\u010dnim sun\u010danim nao\u010dalama?!<\/p>\n

Da zaklju\u010dim ovaj veliki kontekst: Glavna nevolja je u tome \u0161to najmo\u0107nija zemlja svijeta danas iznevjerava na\u0161a o\u010dekivanja da bude pravi\u010dan vo\u0111a u tome svijetu, neprikosnoven i dosljedan moralni autoritet. Ona je danas, na\u017ealost, ne\u0161to sasvim druk\u010dije. Eto, zbog toga svijet ima krajnje ozbiljan razlog da bude i zabrinut i nesretan. Danas je Egipat unesre\u0107en, i on je tek jedna epizoda, jer sutra \u0107e biti drugih protagonista tragedije…<\/p>\n

oslobodjenje.ba<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Esad Durakovi\u0107<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":83,"featured_media":85911,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10196],"tags":[10228,10327],"class_list":{"0":"post-85910","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-iz-pera-nasih-autora","8":"tag-egipat","9":"tag-esad-durakovic"},"yoast_head":"\nEgipat ili destabiliziranje sto\u017eera arapskog svijeta<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sandzakpress.net\/arhiva\/egipat-ili-destabiliziranje-stozera-arapskog-svijeta\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"bs_BA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Egipat ili destabiliziranje sto\u017eera arapskog svijeta\" \/>\n<meta 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