{"id":66121,"date":"2013-02-13T14:00:21","date_gmt":"2013-02-13T13:00:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sandzakpress.net\/arhiva\/?p=66121"},"modified":"2013-02-13T14:00:21","modified_gmt":"2013-02-13T13:00:21","slug":"danasnje-bebe-ce-dozivjeti-stotu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sandzakpress.net\/arhiva\/danasnje-bebe-ce-dozivjeti-stotu\/","title":{"rendered":"Dana\u0161nje bebe \u0107e do\u017eivjeti stotu?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a>Polovina djece koja se danas ra\u0111a mogla bi po\u017eiveti i do 100 godina. To su predvi\u0111anja nema\u010dkog stru\u010dnjaka za demografiju Rolanda Raua sa Univerziteta u Rostoku.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

DW: <\/em><\/strong>Nemci su sve stariji. Dana\u0161nji prosjek \u017eivotnog vijeka u Nema\u010dkoj je sedamdesetak godina. Tek ro\u0111ena djeca imaju dobre \u0161anse da do\u017eivjeti stotu. \u0160ta su uzroci tome?<\/em><\/p>\n

Roland Rau<\/strong>: \u201eDemografi su spoznali da taj fenomen postoji ve\u0107 160, 170 godina. Ranije, prije 120 godina, je 25 od 100 novoro\u0111en\u010dadi umiralo. Danas umire svako tre\u0107e ili \u010detvrto od hiljadu ro\u0111ene djece.<\/p>\n

Za tako veliki napredak treba da zahvalimo razvoju medicine. Poslednjih 30 godina smo svedoci naglog smanjenja mortaliteta novoro\u0111en\u010dadi uzrokovanog kardiovaskularnim oboljenjima. U me\u0111uvremenu se pacijenti mnogo br\u017ee oporavljaju od posljedica sr\u010danog udara. Stentovi i \u201cbajpasi\u201d pacijentima poma\u017eu da se br\u017ee oporave, a i lje\u010denje akutnih simptoma je znatno uspje\u0161nije. \u0160anse za pre\u017eivljavanje su mnogo ve\u0107e.<\/p>\n

Osim toga, zdravstvena prevencija je u velikoj mjeri napredovala i svakim danom sti\u010demo nova saznanja o rizi\u010dnim faktorima. Na\u0161i preci ni\u0161ta nisu znali o holesterolu.<\/p>\n

Za mene, kao ljubitelja fudbala, posebno je interesantan kardiovaskularni mortalitet i njegov porast za vrijeme zna\u010dajnih fudbalskih doga\u0111anja. Kod mu\u0161karaca u Nema\u010dkoj se za vrijeme Svjetskog prvenstva 2006. godine taj broj utrostru\u010dio. I to je jedan od na\u010dina koji nam omogu\u0107ava da vi\u0161e saznamo o uzro\u010dnicima sr\u010danog udara ili kardiovaskularnih oboljenja.<\/p>\n

DW:<\/em><\/strong> \u0160ta je najva\u017enije za trajanje prosje\u010dnog \u017eivotnog vijeka? Koliko su va\u017eni geni, stil \u017eivota i medicina? <\/em><\/p>\n

Roland Rau<\/strong>: Te\u0161ko je to re\u0107i. Postoje studije u kojima su analizirani razli\u010diti \u010dinioci i njihov uticaj na \u017eivotni vijek. Pokazalo se da maksimalno jednu \u010detvrtinu \u010dine genetski faktori. Doga\u0111aji iz ranog djetinjstva i nasledne predispozicije \u010dine drugu \u010detvrtinu, a vi\u0161e od polovine odre\u0111uje na\u010din \u017eivota i napredak medicine.<\/p>\n

\n
\"diekatrin<\/div>\n
diekatrin \/ Flickr.com<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

DW: <\/em><\/strong>Na \u010demu su zasnovane prognoze o trajanju \u017eivotnog vijeka? Ho\u0107e li krive na grafi\u010dkm prikazima i dalje nastaviti s rastom?<\/em><\/p>\n

Roland Rau:<\/strong> Nema iluzija da \u0107e biti tako. \u010cesto me pitaju kakav uticaj na du\u017einu \u017eivota imaju klimatske promjene i ekonomske krize. Moj odgovor je, nemaju nikakav uticaj! Postoje razli\u010dite statisti\u010dke metode, ali je u su\u0161tini rije\u010d o tome da trendove iz pro\u0161losti treba ugraditi u budu\u0107nost.<\/p>\n

DW: <\/em><\/strong>Zna\u010di li to da \u0107e ljudi, u slu\u010daju da statisti\u010dka kriva nastavi da raste, \u017eivjeti beskrajno dugo?<\/em><\/p>\n

Roland Rau<\/strong>: Ne\u0107e i\u0107i tako daleko i ne mislim da mi mo\u017eemo \u017eiveti beskona\u010dno dugo. Vidimo u zemljama s visokim prosekom \u017eivotnog vijeka, kao \u0161to su Japan i Francuska, da se svakih deset godina prosje\u010dan vijek stanovnika produ\u017eava za dvije i po godine. To zna\u010di da se prosjek svake godine pove\u0107ava za tri mjeseca, odnosno \u0161est sati po danu.<\/p>\n

DW: <\/em><\/strong>Zna\u010di li to da bi trebalo da se strpimo i \u0161to vi\u0161e odga\u0111amo vrijeme ro\u0111enja djeteta, ako \u017eelimo da na\u0161i potomci du\u017ee \u017eive?<\/em><\/p>\n

Roland Rau<\/strong>: (smijeh) Da, moglo bi se tako interpretirati, iako ja to nikada nisam posmatrao iz te perspektive.<\/p>\n

DW: <\/em><\/strong>Ja sam nepu\u0161a\u010d, ne konzumiram alkohol gotovo nikad i bavim se sportom. \u0160ta bih jo\u0161 mogao da uradim kako ne bih \u017eiveo 79 ili 82 godine, kao \u0161to ste predvideli, ve\u0107 85 ili 90 godina?<\/em><\/p>\n

Roland Rau<\/strong>: Na\u017ealost, vi ne mo\u017eete isklju\u010diti velike faktore rizika, jer je \u010dinjenica da ste ljudsko bi\u0107e. U svim zemljama \u017eene u prosjeku \u017eive du\u017ee od mu\u0161karaca. Recimo, zimi bi trebalo toplije da se obla\u010dite, jer je poznato da je u zimskom periodu smrtnost ve\u0107a za 20-30 odsto. To zna\u010di da se tada pove\u0107ava rizik od smrtnosti uzrokovane oboljenjima disajnih puteva ili trombozom.<\/p>\n

Ja svojim studentima stalno govorim da \u0107e ako budu slu\u0161ali preporuke svojih majki, kao \u0161to su savjeti da ne pu\u0161e, ne piju, da se bave sportom, ve\u0107 sve uradili za svoje zdravlje. Sve ostalo zavisi od napretka medicine. I tu se relativno malo toga mo\u017ee li\u010dno u\u010diniti.<\/p>\n

(B92)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Polovina djece koja se danas ra\u0111a mogla bi po\u017eiveti i do 100 godina. To su predvi\u0111anja nema\u010dkog stru\u010dnjaka za demografiju Rolanda Raua sa Univerziteta u Rostoku. DW: Nemci su sve stariji. Dana\u0161nji prosjek \u017eivotnog vijeka u Nema\u010dkoj je sedamdesetak godina. Tek ro\u0111ena djeca imaju dobre \u0161anse da do\u017eivjeti stotu. \u0160ta su uzroci tome? Roland Rau: […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":66122,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[813],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-66121","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-zdravlje"},"yoast_head":"\nDana\u0161nje bebe \u0107e do\u017eivjeti stotu?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sandzakpress.net\/arhiva\/danasnje-bebe-ce-dozivjeti-stotu\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"bs_BA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Dana\u0161nje bebe \u0107e do\u017eivjeti stotu?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Polovina djece koja se danas ra\u0111a mogla bi po\u017eiveti i do 100 godina. To su predvi\u0111anja nema\u010dkog stru\u010dnjaka za demografiju Rolanda Raua sa Univerziteta u Rostoku. DW: Nemci su sve stariji. Dana\u0161nji prosjek \u017eivotnog vijeka u Nema\u010dkoj je sedamdesetak godina. Tek ro\u0111ena djeca imaju dobre \u0161anse da do\u017eivjeti stotu. \u0160ta su uzroci tome? 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