{"id":127856,"date":"2015-05-09T11:17:55","date_gmt":"2015-05-09T09:17:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sandzakpress.net\/arhiva\/?p=127856"},"modified":"2015-05-09T11:17:55","modified_gmt":"2015-05-09T09:17:55","slug":"arapsko-tursko-budenje","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sandzakpress.net\/arhiva\/arapsko-tursko-budenje\/","title":{"rendered":"Arapsko-tursko bu\u0111enje"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"borbe_jemen_main_reuters\"<\/a>Na djelu je arapsko-tursko bu\u0111enje u suo\u010davanju sa iranskom dominacijom u regiji koja je prema\u0161ila sva o\u010dekivanja.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Po\u010dev\u0161i od narodnog otpora u Jemenu koji se razvija i crpi snagu Husija i njihovog saveznika, svrgnutog predsjednika Alija Abdullaha Saleha, zatim krize u Iraku koja name\u0107e novi pravac za bavljenje problemom sukoba, te velikih promjena na terenu koje se de\u0161avaju u Siriji, pa \u010dak i zna\u010dajnih politi\u010dkih i medijskih napada na Hezbollah u Libanu te pada njihovog imuniteta… sve je to povezano jednom zajedni\u010dkom niti koja se zove: arapsko-tursko bu\u0111enje u suo\u010davanju sa iranskom dominacijom u regiji koja je prema\u0161ila sve kalkulacije i o\u010dekivanja.<\/p>\n

Te\u0161ko se mo\u017ee re\u0107i da je ovakva sinhronizacija u razvoju situacije \u010dista slu\u010dajnost. Ono \u0161to se de\u0161ava u Siriji i o\u010digledni napredak jo\u0161 od osloba\u0111anja grada Idliba, pa sve do pobjede u Jisr al-Shughuru, te Soleimanovih napada na jugu koji su polu\u010dili neuspjehom, zasigurno sa sobom nose i odre\u0111eno zna\u010denje.<\/p>\n

Uprkos \u010dinjenici da velike zasluge u svemu tome pripadaju naporima sirijskih pobunjenika i njihovoj borbi, ipak nema sumnje da postoji i nova podr\u0161ka pobunjenicima kako bi mogli ostvariti te pobjede, pored podr\u0161ke formiranju “Jaish al-Fatha” (Vojske osvajanja), nove alijanse koja je oslobodila Idlib i Jisr al-Shughur.<\/p>\n

Koordinacija Turske, Saudijske Arabije i Katara<\/strong><\/p>\n

Svako ko je slu\u0161ao posljednji intervju Bashara al-Assada, u kojem optu\u017euje Tursku da stoji iza “pada” Idliba (a isto \u0107e re\u0107i i za Jisr al-Shughur), bez sumnje \u0107e shvatiti dimenziju o kojoj mi sada govorimo.<\/p>\n

Sve intenzivnija koordinacija izme\u0111u Turske, Saudijske Arabije i Katara na sirijskoj pozornici – \u0161to su otkrili i mnogi politi\u010dki i medijski izvori – nije zanemariva dimenzija. Razlog zbog \u010dega je to bitno po\u010diva u tome da je konfrontacija izme\u0111u ove tri dr\u017eave ostavila negativne posljedice na sami tok bitke, pa \u010dak i na politi\u010dke inicijative vezano za sirijsko pitanje generalno.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\n

Postalo je jasno da borci koji su dovedeni iz svih krajeva svijeta vi\u0161e nisu u stanju ostvariti ve\u0107e pomake u borbi protiv volje pobunjenika.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Ovo nije vojni izvje\u0161taj sa terena pa da iznosimo uspjehe koji su ostvareni u proteklim sedmicama, ali svako ko prati vijesti zasigurno ne\u0107e posumnjati u njihovu ta\u010dnost. Ni sami mediji iranske koalicije nisu u stanju prikriti ove podatke, dok u isto vrijeme me\u0111u vijestima poku\u0161avaju prona\u0107i napredak ostvaren ovdje ili ondje \u010dime bi pokrili svoje razo\u010darenje.<\/p>\n

U vrijeme kada padaju velike \u017ertve u redovima sirijskog re\u017eima i milicija koje mu pripadaju, ali i onih koje su pristigle izvana i mogu se vidjeti na videosnimcima, veoma je te\u0161ko zanemariti takve stvari i praviti se kao da se ni\u0161ta nije ni dogodilo, naravno i zbog politi\u010dkih skandala koji idu uz sve to. \u00a0<\/p>\n

Uloga Hezbollaha<\/strong><\/p>\n

Postalo je jasno da borci koji su dovedeni iz svih krajeva svijeta vi\u0161e nisu u stanju ostvariti ve\u0107e pomake u borbi protiv volje pobunjenika. U tome veliku ulogu ima i Hezbollah, \u010diji je generalni sekretar obe\u0107ao obra\u010dun u Qalamounu prije otprilike godinu dana, ali ni\u0161ta od toga do danas se nije dogodilo. \u0160tavi\u0161e, mo\u017eda se i napredak koji je ostvaren mo\u017ee pripisati u korist pobunjenika.<\/p>\n

Situacija u Jemenu ba\u0161 i ne zahtjeva neka prevelika obja\u0161njenja. Narodni otpor u toj zemlji postepeno se razvija, od stanja rasula pa sve do stanja organizacije, bez obzira na sudbinu zra\u010dnih operacija koje se prakti\u010dno nisu ni zaustavile.<\/p>\n

Sve su to pokazatelji da se iscrpljenost Husija pove\u0107ava kako vrijeme prolazi, posebno na jugu zemlje, gdje nemaju nikakvu podr\u0161ku naroda, niti oni, niti svrgnuti predsjednik. \u00a0<\/p>\n

Novi stav svrgnutog predsjednika Saleha (njegovo priznanje rezolucije Vije\u0107a sigurnosti i zahtjev upu\u0107en Husima da istu priznaju) samo ukazuje na to da je izgubio svaku nadu u mogu\u0107nost pobjede, posebno nakon \u0161to ga je napustio veliki broj strana\u010dkih lidera koji su se uputili u Saudijsku Arabiju gdje su iskazali svoju lojalnost.<\/p>\n

Ali to ne zna\u010di da je izgubio nadu u mogu\u0107nost dogovora sa zaljevskim dr\u017eavama kojim bi, bez sumnje, prodao Husije.<\/p>\n

Irak nije daleko od ovih de\u0161avanja, samo \u0161to je ovdje neprijatelj grupa Islamska dr\u017eava Irak i Levant, koja okuplja sve strane u neprijateljstvu prema njoj. No i pored toga uspje\u0161no ostvaruje velike pobjede, iako je izgubila Tikrit, nasuprot katastrofalnom neuspjehu takozvanih milicija Narodne mobilizacije.<\/p>\n

Primjer pogor\u0161anja situacije u ovoj dr\u017eavi predstavlja inicijativa Haidera al-Abadija u korist ameri\u010dke podr\u0161ke u odnosu na milicije, naro\u010dito nakon saop\u0107enja Washingtona da ne\u0107e intervenirati u bici u Anbaru ukoliko ove milicije budu u\u010destvovale u borbama.<\/p>\n

Al-Abadi se u Tikritu odlu\u010duje za ameri\u010dku pomo\u0107 naspram milicija, iako su i one na odre\u0111eni na\u010din bile prisutne, no njihov neuspjeh natjerao ga je na to da bira stranu, \u0161to je bilo presudno.<\/p>\n

Zbog toga Al-Abadijeve tvrdnje, koje idu dotle da ka\u017ee kako u Iraku nema milicija, izgledaju ba\u0161 kao da sunce \u017eeli pokriti sitom i poku\u0161ava prona\u0107i vrata na kojim ga \u010dega podr\u0161ka kako bi se izvukao iz krize. U isto vrijeme, tra\u017ei priliku da napravi balans izme\u0111u ogromnog iranskog utjecaja i njegove vlade.<\/p>\n

Zarobljenik sekta\u0161kog stanja<\/strong><\/p>\n

Naravno, pri tome se nada da se iskustvo Malikija ne\u0107e ponoviti te da \u0107e prona\u0107i podr\u0161ku u arapskoj situaciji u okru\u017eenju.<\/p>\n

Dok u iranskim medijima mo\u017eete uo\u010diti ljutnju usmjerenu na Al-Abadija, pa makar i ograni\u010denu, ona ipak odra\u017eava osje\u0107aj iranskih lidera da Al-Abadi poku\u0161ava olabaviti njihov stisak, te da \u0107e milicije, za koje je Iran \u017eelio da budu poput isukanog ma\u010da nad njegovom glavom, oslabiti na neki na\u010din.<\/p>\n

\n

Svako ko prati iransku i Nasrallahovu retoriku razumije prirodu krize u koju je narod utonuo.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

I pored toga, ne mo\u017eemo mnogo ra\u010dunati na njega, jer je on zarobljenik sekta\u0161kog stanja u kojem se na\u0161ao zajedno sa iranskim prodorima koji ne ostavljaju velikog prostora za manevriranje. Me\u0111utim, ono na \u0161ta ovdje \u017eelimo ukazati jeste da situacija nije daleko od pada iranske dominacije i pogor\u0161anja krize u ovoj dr\u017eavi, poput onoga \u0161to se de\u0161ava u Siriji i Jemenu. \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

Kada utihne glas Qassema Soleimanija nakon mjeseci slavlja u kojem je u\u017eivao dok nije postao ikona, gotovo poput imama Huseina (Husein, neka je Bog s njim zadovoljan, nema nikakve veze sa borbama koje podr\u017eavaju tirane)…Kada do toga do\u0111e, to \u0107e pokazati veli\u010dinu iranske krize, posebno u svjetlu osje\u0107aja konzervativaca da su oni ti koji moraju dopustiti prolazak nuklearnog sporazuma bez obzira \u0161to to podrazumijeva veliki poticaj njihovim protivnicima iz reformisti\u010dkog pokreta. \u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

Iscrpljuju\u0107a kriza<\/strong><\/p>\n

Iscrpljuju\u0107a kriza sve se vi\u0161e pove\u0107ava, na \u0161to ukazuje i gore navedeno. Svako ko prati iransku i Nasrallahovu retoriku razumije prirodu krize u koju je narod utonuo.<\/p>\n

No i pored toga, ne mo\u017eemo re\u0107i kako je do\u0161lo vrijeme da se popije \u010da\u0161a otrova jer, na\u017ealost, put koji tome vodi najvjerovatnije ne\u0107e biti tako kratak.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Ta \u010da\u0161a otrova zapravo je dogovor sa arapskom i turskom stranom kojim \u0107e se stvari dovesti u normalan poredak i ni\u0161ta drugo, gdje jedna strana ne\u0107e ugro\u017eavati pravo one druge.<\/p>\n

Sudbina ove regije jeste da koegzistira na nivou dr\u017eava, dok je ista situacija i sa rasama, denominacijama i svim ostalim. \u00a0<\/p>\n

Stavovi izra\u017eeni u ovom tekstu su autorovi i ne odra\u017eavaju nu\u017eno uredni\u010dku politiku Al Jazeere.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Izvor: Al Jazeera<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Yasser Zaatreh<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":83,"featured_media":127857,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10196],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-127856","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-iz-pera-nasih-autora"},"yoast_head":"\nArapsko-tursko bu\u0111enje<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sandzakpress.net\/arhiva\/arapsko-tursko-budenje\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"bs_BA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Arapsko-tursko bu\u0111enje\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Yasser Zaatreh\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" 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